AM I NEXT?

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Am I Next? Tax on Robots, Automation, Artificial Intelligence

HOW POLITICIANS KILL JOBS, COMPANIES, AND ECONOMIES

Stephen Levine September 20, 2017

Many people wonder why they have lost their jobs. In some cases, it is entirely up to the marketplace to determine whether or not an organization’s product or service lives, limps along, or dies. In other cases, it might be the fault of executives trying to keep their own positions or maximize their performance bonuses by cutting costs, the largest one often being labor. Or, it might be the heavy-handed tactics of a union that demands increasing wages without any corresponding increase in productivity.

And, then there are the politicians with their never-ending taxation and regulations.

  • Want to discourage some behavior or practice; tax it heavily.
  • Want to encourage some behavior, tax someone else and subsidize your preferred behavior or provide tax breaks.
  • Want to bring about “social justice,” use taxation as a means of wealth redistribution.
  • Want to be re-elected, place another budget-busting entitlement on the table. 

A San Francisco Progressive Example:

Progressive San Francisco Supervisor Jane Kim believes that there should be a tax on robots to help retrain workers who lose their job to automation. “What we are looking at is extending a payroll tax that we already have on jobs performed by humans, and extending [it] to jobs performed by robots, algorithms, and automation.” According to Kim, “What I am trying to do is make sure that we are preparing workers for the future of work in this country by creating a revenue fund that can help re-educate and retrain; but also turn jobs that are frankly poverty jobs that are very difficult to automate — like child-care workers, health-care workers for seniors — and help make those real living-wage, middle-class jobs.” “San Francisco is certainly a beneficiary of the tech disruption and revolution that we are seeing today. And I think it makes sense for San Francisco to be leading in the policies that address this.”

What is left unsaid is that many of the jobs to be automated are held by low-skill casual labor whose “living wage” demands are forcing employers to turn to automation to maintain competitiveness and sustain a viable enterprise. Can one imagine the cost of a simple hamburger-Coke-and fries when the three or so employees that access the customer all make $30,000 per year and have all of the other benefits that are not usually found in entry-level positions that were never meant to be career positions or positions that would feed a family with multiple children?

And history has proven that most tax monies collected under a social benefit program usually are dissipated by the inefficient government overhead and only a few dollars trickle down to actual beneficiaries.  More likely, the funds are provided to politically-connected organizations whose members almost always vote for the progressive party, and who always takes a hefty slice of the revenue to cover their own overhead. And, of course, a large slice of the pie goes for the type of self-serving outreach that promotes the organization and funds its own fundraising activities.

It is important to watch closely what the politicians are doing in your name, else you learn that regulation and taxation has cost you your position – or forcing you to think “Am I Next?  

In Artificial Intelligence, Automation, Robotics Tags Politics, Robotics, Automation, artificial intelligence
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Am I Next? Job losses in retail. Automation. Robotics. Artificial Intelligence 

REPORT: 80% of RETAIL JOBS AT RISK FROM AUTOMATION

Stephen Levine September 11, 2017

A new report fromCiti GPS (Global Perspectives & Solutions) based on the research performed by Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne at the Oxford Martin School, the research and policy unit based in the Social Sciences Division of the University of Oxford in England, explores the worldwide impact of online shopping on traditional retail jobs in the near future.

Some key findings from the report, Technology at Work V3.0: Automating e-Commerce from Click to Pick to Door …

•    Jobs in transport, warehousing, and logistics have an above-average susceptibility to automation: the report estimates show that 80% of jobs in retail transportation, warehousing, and logistics are at risk as a result of recent technological developments, and another 63% of sales occupations are at risk. These figures are higher than the 47% of total jobs that are potentially automatable in the United States. 

•     Growth in online shopping is the main driver of warehouse automation, and this will increase with greater broadband and mobile device penetration. The report looks at the online penetration of retail by category and geography and at the implications for the retail sector, how retailers are adapting to cope with online shopping, and ultimately what impact further automation may have on the retail landscape.

•     Cross-border online shopping looks set to stay, further driving warehouse demand. DHL estimates that 15% of e-commerce is cross-border, and is set to increase to 25%, as the cost of carrying inventory has to be balanced against the cost of shipping cross-border. There is also a broader debate on the location of manufacturing when factories are fully automated. The CEO of Adidas commented on April 2017 that large-scale reshoring of manufacturing jobs from Asia back to the west is a “complete illusion” due to entrenched supply chains in Asia.

•     Retail space will be impacted in two ways: First, is the already-visible decline of the high street and mall footprints, but second is in how the need for warehouses near or in dense urban areas is changing how planners look at zoning land. The report examines some emerging innovations and concepts that have the potential to significantly impact property markets, from the integration of industrial and residential land uses in significantly land-constrained markets, to the development of vertical warehouse solutions and even towards flexible warehouse solutions along the lines of AirBnB.

The full report, Technology at Work v3.0 Automating e-Commerce from Click to Pick to Door is available as are the previous two reports from 2016 (Technology at Work v2.0: The Future Is Not What It Used to Be) and 2015  (Technology at Work: The Future of Innovation and Employment)

 

In Job Loss - Technology, Automation, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence Tags Job Loss - Technology, Automation, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence
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AM I NEXT?

A website dedicated to your survival in today's crazy and chaotic world and helping you to future-proof your life and career.

Am I Next is a website dedicated to your survival in today's crazy and chaotic world and helping you to future-proof your life and career. 

Am I Next? | , Los Angeles, California, United States